1) Thread re GE in York Outer. Growing tired of the @yorklibdems lies. The claim that Lib Dems can win in York Outer is complete fabrication. Real risk is that voting LD in York Outer will split @labouryork
@AnnaPerrett @Dr_Lata_N @racheljalsop @martin_oneill @delirioushappy
2) which will allow the ever-absent Julian Sturdy to take it. The facts are these. The LDs have tended to poll well in non-GEs since 2010. But not GEs. They also claimed in 2017 that only they can win it based on polling and council elections.
3) 2015 LG elections, Labour took 25.6% of vote, Lib Dems got 23.9%. BUT by 2017 election, @UKLabour got an increased majority. In York Outer Lib Dems peeled away. Labour finished on 36.7% of the vote. The Lib Dem vote actually fell by 1.3% to 10.3%.
4) Similar patterns can be found if we look at the 2015 LE and GE. Lib Dems took a respectable 23.9% vote share LE in York, but in the 2015 GE in York Outer came a poor third with 11.6% of the vote against Labour's 24.8%.
5) Labour vote increased by 7.7% in 2015. And in 2017 Labour increased its vote by a further 11.9%
Despite this, the Greens have stepped aside in York Outer to boost the LDs. Despite Labour's Green New Deal
6) And despite confirmation from the LDs that they will support the Tories in another coalition in exchange for a referendum. And their dubious record on fracking (a key issue in the area)
7) And on Brexit, Labour is backing a second ref against a customs union deal. Lib Dem policy of opposing Labour more than Tories at best risks putting awful BJ deal against remain. With Tories behind BJs deal, huge risk is that we will end up with a terrible Tory Brexit.
8) With Labour, a second ref will include an option to remain against an undesirable but much less risky customs union.
LD strategy is undermining small hope of remaining in the EU. And undermining any hope of the rise of a social democratic policy agenda.
9) Despite this I would still tactically vote Lib Dems if I had to. But surely LDs see their warmer support of pro-Brexit Tories than Labour as undermining their chance to pick up Labour support elsewhere?
10) The recent actions and mistruths spread by the current LDs might make tactical voting much harder. Thankfully I don't have to make this choice because I live in York Outer. And despite the claims to the contrary, ONLY LABOUR CAN WIN HERE!
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