the problem for the Iranian gov is that it has no answers for the recent wave of protests other than brute force. in comparison the reformist-led protests were subdued primarily through intimidating leaders, arresting activists, blocking candidates from running and lastly force.

the 2009 protests lasted at least seven months and perhaps longer and the number of casualties did not reach the levels of 2019 protests did in five days. it’s hard to understand why authorities have taken this approach.

maybe the protestors are angrier, maybe the gov is better prepared, maybe the gov is now terrified of being another Syria. but these protests seem to be led by angry young men and with no leaders to intimidate, no activists to arrest and no politicians to prevent from running.

therefore the strategy of brute force in response to spontaneous protests over general dissatisfaction with the government will likely continue and the casualty numbers will continue to rise and the rage of the protestors will continue to rise until one side eventually gives in.