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Only ONE socio-economic scenario of the most recent climate models suggests we can limit warming to 2C - and it has us going *over 2C* within a couple of decades, before then cooling down via magical, drastic geoengineering measures (which don't exist). 
https://www.vice.com/en_in/article/ywabb5/new-dire-climate-models-say-the-planet-warms-faster-than-we-thought
https://www.vice.com/en_in/article/ywabb5/new-dire-climate-models-say-the-planet-warms-faster-than-we-thought
Le réchauffement climatique dépassera les 2°C en 2040... https://m.huffingtonpost.fr/entry/le-rechauffement-climatique-depassera-les-2degc-en-2040-selon-les-previsions-francaises-mais_fr_5d809d1de4b077dcbd63d316
'Le scénario le plus optimiste “implique une diminution immédiate des émissions de CO2 jusqu’à atteindre la neutralité carbone à l’échelle de la planète vers 2060, ainsi qu’une captation de CO2 atmosphérique de l’ordre de 10 à 15 milliards de tonnes par an en 2100”, ce que...
la technologie ne permet pas de faire actuellement.'
"Our study suggests that human-induced global warming of 2°C may trigger other Earth system processes, often called 'feedbacks', that can drive further warming – even if we stop emitting greenhouse gases." https://www.sciencealert.com/humans-unleash-irreversible-hothouse-earth-scientists-warn-global-warming-climate-change-feedback
'other models developed independently have come to the same unsettling conclusion, Boucher confirmed.
"The most respected ones -- from the United States, and Britain's Met Office -- also show a higher ECS" than the previous generation of models, he said'. https://www.france24.com/en/20190917-earth-warming-more-quickly-than-thought-new-climate-models-show
"The most respected ones -- from the United States, and Britain's Met Office -- also show a higher ECS" than the previous generation of models, he said'. https://www.france24.com/en/20190917-earth-warming-more-quickly-than-thought-new-climate-models-show
My reading of this is that the horror of 3°C - mass suffering, mass death - is quite likely to occur by around 2060, having most likely hit 2°C around 2040.
Scientists are cautious about new models, but if many models show this independently, isn't this the big news story?
Scientists are cautious about new models, but if many models show this independently, isn't this the big news story?
See thread and subthreads here: https://twitter.com/ClimateBen/status/1205989739494625283?s=19
