1/11 If there is a hung parliament and if a second #Brexit referendum forms part of coalition negotiations, the options and wording for the referendum will either correct or add to previous Brexit mistakes.
2/11 There is a risk that a second referendum:
- Repeats the binary Remain/Leave choice, when we now know there are multiple and distinct Leave options
- Offers a choice between a single Leave option and Remain, unfairly excluding other Leave options
3/11 The signs so far are not encouraging:
- Labour’s policy is for a second referendum between a single renegotiated Leave option and Remain
- Other political parties and the People’s Vote campaign don't specify the options and wording, so it is unclear what these would be
4/11 Any coalition negotiations will most likely agree the options and wording for a second referendum. If so, this will be a crucial opportunity to ensure they are fair, inclusive and justifiable.
5/11 For a clear comparison with the first referendum, a second referendum could initially repeat the Remain/Leave question. Then, unlike the first referendum, a second referendum could provide voters with a choice of options on how to how to Leave, if a majority vote to Leave.
6/11 The Leave options need to be realistic and achievable, so could include:
- Teresa May’s deal
- Boris Johnson’s deal
- Labour’s renegotiated deal (subject to EU agreement)
- Leave with no deal
7/11 If a majority vote to Leave, the Leave option which receives the highest number of votes could be implemented. This simplicity and clarity seems better than the expression of preferences and transferable votes.
8/11 Inclusion of all realistic and achievable Leave options is essential. Voting is the fairest and most effective mechanism for eliminating options we may not like.
9/11 Hence, the wording for the first part of a second Brexit referendum could be:
- Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?
- Remain a member of the European Union
- Leave the European Union
10/11 The wording for the second part of a second Brexit referendum could be:
- How should the United Kingdom leave the European Union, if a majority vote to Leave?
- The Withdrawal Agreement and Political Declaration agreed by Teresa May on 25 November 2018
- Continued below
11/11 Continued from above:
- The revised Withdrawal Agreement and Political Declaration agreed by Boris Johnson on 17 October 2019
- A revised Withdrawal Agreement and Political Declaration (subject to EU agreement)
- No Withdrawal Agreement and Political Declaration
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