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A (game theory) THREAD -expect OBJ and Jarvis to carry significant ownership this weekend. Chubb is currently projected for sub-8% ownership vs MIA. Thatās a mistake. He has seen 25/24/28 RB opportunities (carries+targets) the last three weeks.
-DJ Chark mania is sweeping the land. Expect Adoreeā shadow in week 12, who has allowed 24 receptions on 38 targets in coverage. Broken down, that means Adoreeā has been targeted just over 4 times per game over his 9 healthy games. Thatās right coverage, friends.../1
Chris Conley has become an every down player for JAX, bumping to 88/95% snap rates last two games. He owns an elite 17.9 yards per reception and should approach or surpass double digit targets (8/7/7/7 last 4) with Adoreeā on Chark. Heās priced at 4.1 with almost zero ownership.
-DAL will be without their two starting LBs and their LB coach has been away from the team all week dealing with a personal matter. NE will be without two starting WRs. Expecting high winds and rain/snow in NE. James White is priced at 5.3 with sub-10% projected ownership.
-is Scott Simonson playable at 2.6 vs a CHI D that funnels targets inside? I thought writing that out might give me clarity. It did not.
-both Hooper and Freeman remain out for ATL. Calvin Ridley is projected for the highest WR ownership on the slate. Julio Jones (pronounced Hulio Hones) has the softest matchup outside heāll see all year and should be the focal point of the passing game this week.
-if ATL sees ceiling-worthy passing volume, TB must keep pressure applied. This new look (really theyāre just cutting down on communication issues) ATL D is playing better. Turn to individual matchups. Over the last 5 weeks, the weakness of the ATL secondary has been.../1
Isaiah Oliver, who plays RCB 80%+ of the time. Expect Mike Evans (7.3) to see the spike in targets this week, giving him the highest likelihood of TB pass-catchers at a slate-breaking score.
-let it be known that I spoke of Phillip Lindsay breaking out this week late Sunday evening. For better or worse, it was my idea 
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-JAX allow 135 yards rushing per game. TEN OL is healthy (4.19 adjusted line yards) taking on JAX who are most attackable on the ground (4.43 adjusted line yards allowed). Most interesting thing I uncovered is JAX RZ TD rate allowed slips from 41% at home to 66% on the road!
