Thread by @David_Ritter, .@ScottMorrisonMP I notice you just said that there is no evidence that [...]

. @ScottMorrisonMP I notice you just said that there is no evidence that links Australia's carbon emissions to bushfires? That's just not true. Here are 18 warnings by experts since the Coalition was elected in 2013, all of which have been ignored. #fires https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/nov/21/scott-morrison-says-no-evidence-links-australias-carbon-emissions-to-bushfires

Scott Morrison says no evidence links Australia's carbon emissions to bushfires

PM suggests Australia could increase emissions without worsening current fire season, and says government finalising plans to crack down on environmental protests

https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/nov/21/scott-morrison-says-no-evidence-links-australias-carbon-emissions-to-bushfires

Director Prof Andy Pitman - @ClimateExtremes 2013: “Failure to accept a link between global warming and fire risk... leaves all management of the risk to NSW state agencies and mitigation by Rural Fire Service employees and volunteers.”

https://www.climatescience.org.au/content/395-links-between-global-warming-and-nsw-bush-fires

. @UNFCCC 2013: “What is absolutely clear is the science is telling us that there are increasing heat waves in Asia, Europe and Australia; that they [bushfires] will continue in their intensity and in their frequency." - Christiana Figueres @CFigueres http://edition.cnn.com/2013/10/23/world/asia/australia-fires/index.html

Australia bush fire crisis eases; firefighters warn fight isn't over

Firefighters battling blazes that menaced the western suburbs of Sydney, Australia's largest city, said Wednesday the worst of the crisis had been averted.

http://edition.cnn.com/2013/10/23/world/asia/australia-fires/index.html

. @IPCC_CH 2014: "high confidence that higher temperatures and drier conditions would lead to increased damages to ecosystems and settlements, economic losses and risks to human life from wildfires in most of southern Australia and many parts of New Zealand” https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/05/SYR_AR5_FINAL_full_wcover.pdf

The Climate Council 2014: “Put simply, climate change is increasing the frequency and severity of very hot days and is driving up the likelihood of very high fire danger weather.” - @ClimateCouncil https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2014/oct/21/bushfire-season-will-be-more-severe-as-a-result-of-climate-change

Bushfire season 'will be more severe as a result of climate change'

Report predicts economic cost of fires will triple by 2050 and urges reduction in carbon emissions

https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2014/oct/21/bushfire-season-will-be-more-severe-as-a-result-of-climate-change

. @CSIRO 2015: “Extreme fire weather days have increased … from 1973… due to warmer and drier conditions” - Climate Change in Australia Technical Report.

https://www.climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au/media/ccia/2.1.6/cms_page_media/168/CCIA_2015_NRM_TechnicalReport_WEB.pdf

The Climate Council 2015: “Climate Change and the Australian Bushfire Threat found the length of the fire season increased by almost 19% globally between 1978 and 2013” - @ClimateCouncil https://www.climatecouncil.org.au/resources/burningissuereport2015/

The Burning Issue: Climate Change and the Australian Bushfire Threat - Climate Council

Australia’s bushfire preparedness is under threat from climate change as bushfire seasons here and in the Northern Hemisphere increasingly overlap, putting new demands on critical shared firefighting...

https://www.climatecouncil.org.au/resources/burningissuereport2015/

Climate Institute 2016: “There is high confidence that projected warming and drying in southern and eastern Australia will lead to fuels that are drier and more ready-to-burn... [and a] greater number of days with severe fire danger” - @ClimateInstitut

http://www.climateinstitute.org.au/verve/_resources/2016_Bushfire_Factsheet_-_FINAL.pdf

. @BOM_au 2018: “There has been a long-term increase in extreme fire weather and in the length of the fire season across large parts of Australia since the 1950s...Climate change, including increasing temperatures, is contributing to these changes"

http://www.bom.gov.au/state-of-the-climate/

Andrew Watkin @BOM_au 2018: “Temperatures are set to rise further in the years ahead as a result of climate change...contributing to a long-term increase in the frequency of extreme heat, fire weather and drought.” https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/dec/20/australia-experiencing-more-heat-longer-fire-seasons-and-rising-oceans

Australia experiencing more heat, longer fire seasons and rising oceans

State of the climate report points to a long-term increase in the frequency of extreme heat events, fire weather and drought

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/dec/20/australia-experiencing-more-heat-longer-fire-seasons-and-rising-oceans

. @HelenCleugh @CSIRO 2018: “Australia is already experiencing climate change now and there are impacts being experienced or felt across many communities... Australia’s fire seasons have lengthened – in places by months – and become more severe” https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/dec/20/australia-experiencing-more-heat-longer-fire-seasons-and-rising-oceans

Australia experiencing more heat, longer fire seasons and rising oceans

State of the climate report points to a long-term increase in the frequency of extreme heat events, fire weather and drought

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/dec/20/australia-experiencing-more-heat-longer-fire-seasons-and-rising-oceans

Karl Braganza - @BOM_au 2018: “Often the worst fire weather occurs when you’ve had long-term drought, long-term above-average temperatures...and then the meteorology that’s consistent with severe fire weather and the ability for fire to spread.” https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/dec/20/australia-experiencing-more-heat-longer-fire-seasons-and-rising-oceans

Australia experiencing more heat, longer fire seasons and rising oceans

State of the climate report points to a long-term increase in the frequency of extreme heat events, fire weather and drought

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/dec/20/australia-experiencing-more-heat-longer-fire-seasons-and-rising-oceans

. @NatureClimate Report 2019 “We find an increased risk of dangerous atmospheric conditions associated with extreme fire weather... these findings highlight the influence that future climate change could have on the characteristics of dangerous wildfires.”
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-46362-x.pdf

Emergency Leaders for Climate Action 2019: “Current Federal Government climate policy has resulted in greenhouse gas pollution increasing over the last four years, putting Australian lives at risk.” #emergencyleadersforclimateaction

…https://emergencyleadersforclimateaction.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/CC_MVSA0184-Firefighting-and-Emergency-Services-Statement-A4-Version_V4-FA.pdf

. @theAGU 2019: “Extreme wildﬁres...involve a coupling between the ﬁre and the atmosphere, which drives dangerous ﬁre conditions that result in fatalities and considerable damage. Climate change could amplify the conditions.." https://bit.ly/2s3W8Wy

Climate Change Increases the Potential for Extreme Wildfires

Significant increases in the frequency of conditions conducive to pyrocumulonimbus fires occur in November (Spring) 2060‐2079 versus 1990‐2009 Atmospheric instability and dryness are better indicat...

https://bit.ly/2s3W8Wy

. @bnhcrc 2019: “ We are also seeing the cumulative amount of fire danger during a fire season going up - the time between these really extreme fire years will get shorter and shorter and shorter. We will see these conditions come around more frequently.”

https://bit.ly/35mjJ2U

The National Environmental Science Programme Report 2019: “human-caused climate change had already resulted in more dangerous weather conditions for bushfires in recent decades for many regions of Australia”
@nespclimate

http://nespclimate.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/11/A4_4pp_brochure_NESP_ESCC_Bushfires_FINAL_Nov11_2019_WEB.pdf

. @SEI_Sydney 2019: “Climate change is causally linked to the health of the bush and has both direct and indirect pathways of causation to catastrophic fires. Much of NSW is in drought...dangerous conditions for fires to burn more intensely and spread fast" https://www.sbs.com.au/news/scientists-say-the-nsw-mega-fires-are-linked-to-climate-change-here-s-how

Scientists say the NSW mega fires are linked to climate change. Here's how

A war of words has erupted around Australia's bushfires and climate change. But most scientists say the link is clear.

https://www.sbs.com.au/news/scientists-say-the-nsw-mega-fires-are-linked-to-climate-change-here-s-how

Dr. Imran Ahmed @ANU_Climate 2019: "...what climate change does is exacerbate the conditions in which the bushfires happen. With that sort of evidence on the ground, it's hard to see that you still have the politics around doubting climate change." https://www.bbc.com/news/world-australia-50341210

Is climate change to blame for Australia's fires?

Politicians have been criticised for skirting questions on whether climate change is worsening a crisis.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-australia-50341210

This is just a fraction of the evidence. Please let me know if you would like to see any more @ScottMorrisonMP.

#AusPol #ClimateEmergency #Fire

Read Richard Flanagan today. And then remember that, since 2013, Morrison and his predecessors were warned at least eighteen times about the links between rising emissions and catastrophic fire conditions...

They were warned. They knew. They did nothing. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/nov/25/scott-morrison-and-the-big-lie-about-climate-change-does-he-think-were-that-stupid?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

Scott Morrison and the big lie about climate change: does he think we're that stupid? | Richard...

Australians everywhere are ready to get on with the job of dealing with the climate crisis. We just need a prime minister to lead us

https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/nov/25/scott-morrison-and-the-big-lie-about-climate-change-does-he-think-were-that-stupid?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

Good morning and welcome to another day full of smoke and smog in Sydney.

@ScottMorrisonMP and his predecessors were warned by experts at least 18 times since 2013 of the link between Australia's carbon emissions and bushfires (thread, above).

They ignored them all.

#fires

Hey @ScottMorrisonMP. You know how you and your predecessors were warned 18 times that Australia's catastrophic & unprecedented fire conditions are aggravated by climate change? Here's the 19th warning this morning, just to make sure that you have seen it. https://theconversation.com/a-hot-and-dry-australian-summer-means-heatwaves-and-fire-risk-ahead-127990

A hot and dry Australian summer means heatwaves and fire risk ahead

Australia is heading into a scorching summer, but the factors causing the hot and dry weather are expected to ease later in the season.

https://theconversation.com/a-hot-and-dry-australian-summer-means-heatwaves-and-fire-risk-ahead-127990

Relevant to this morning's events outside Parliament House... in this thread you will find 18 different occasions when Morrison and his predecessors were warned that rising emissions would create unprecedented bushfire conditions.

All of which they ignored.

#ClimateEmergency

Latest Threads Unrolled: