A #GE2019 thread about Mid Sussex, our constituency. (Reshot to remove reference to LibDem candidate being a former Conservative,). 1/

Mid Sussex has only ever been Tory (first Tim Renton, then Nicholas Soames). But now the popular Soames has gone, under circumstances that have left resentment. Could all be about to change? Not if the LibDems have their way. 2/

Mid Sussex voted remain (54%) and Soames was a Remainer. Mims Davies, a Leaver, has been picked by the Tories to defend Soames’ 20K majority, literally days after she told her Eastleigh constituency she was quitting politics to spend more time with her family (who live here). 3/

In 2017 Labour came a surprisingly strong second (also 2nd in 2015, albeit narrowly) and hope that the promise of a second referendum will win over more Remainers this time around. They have a bright, young (and local) candidate in Gemma Bolton. 4/

But LibDems and Greens are also contesting the seat (for the time being…). The People’s Vote recommends voting for the LibDem’s Robert Eggleston, even though Labour got twice as many votes as the LibDems in 2017. Go figure. 5/

This is probably the one chance the opposition (and Remain-leaning) parties have to win this seat from the Conservatives. But will they? Probably not, because the Remain vote will be split. And a Brexiteer will succeed Soames. 6/