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So the #CFBPlayoff 
Ranking came out last night. What'd you think? If you read this on Monday morning; they weren't very suspenseful. The committee followed their process the same way they have for 5 years. It was only off an ave of .44 spots per team. https://www.patreon.com/posts/31482739
Ranking came out last night. What'd you think? If you read this on Monday morning; they weren't very suspenseful. The committee followed their process the same way they have for 5 years. It was only off an ave of .44 spots per team. https://www.patreon.com/posts/31482739
If you enjoy the suspense created on Tuesday nights, don't read this thread; and don't pay attention when @CFBMatrix and I release the projections every Monday morning. It'll ruin it for you. If you're interested in what the committee sees, lets take a look. #SpoilerAlert
25 #AppState (proj 28)
SOS is 120 according to the committee formula, but they do have decent Game Control at 17.33. Not surprised they made the Top 25; but would have expected Indiana here if not SMU.
SOS is 120 according to the committee formula, but they do have decent Game Control at 17.33. Not surprised they made the Top 25; but would have expected Indiana here if not SMU.
24 #KState (proj 24)
No surprise. This is exactly where the model had the Wildcats. SOS 21, 1 QW, 1 T25W all are good enough to keep them in the Top 25 w/ 3 losses. Game Control at 11.2 needs some help to get them higher in the poll #EMAW
No surprise. This is exactly where the model had the Wildcats. SOS 21, 1 QW, 1 T25W all are good enough to keep them in the Top 25 w/ 3 losses. Game Control at 11.2 needs some help to get them higher in the poll #EMAW
23 #Navy (proj 23)
No surprise. Exactly where the process modeled them. Low SOS at 82, 0 T25Ws and 2 QWs. Good Game Control of 22.0 of that bad schedule keeps them here.
No surprise. Exactly where the process modeled them. Low SOS at 82, 0 T25Ws and 2 QWs. Good Game Control of 22.0 of that bad schedule keeps them here.
22 #OkState (proj 22)
Once again, this is where the process the committee has used for 5 years puts the #Cowboys. Good SOS at 29, 2 QWs, 1 T25W keep them in the Top 25; but poor Game Control at 7.8 keeps them from climbing. #GoPokes
Once again, this is where the process the committee has used for 5 years puts the #Cowboys. Good SOS at 29, 2 QWs, 1 T25W keep them in the Top 25; but poor Game Control at 7.8 keeps them from climbing. #GoPokes
21 #BoiseState (proj 20)
No surprise here. The Broncos have a pretty ave SOS at 66 but have 0 T25Ws. Their 4 QWs do keep them in the Top 25, but low Game Control of 12.8 keep them lower than the other G5 1 loss teams.
No surprise here. The Broncos have a pretty ave SOS at 66 but have 0 T25Ws. Their 4 QWs do keep them in the Top 25, but low Game Control of 12.8 keep them lower than the other G5 1 loss teams.
20 #Iowa (proj 19)
Again, no surprise. The #Hawkeyes resume is good enough to get them on the fringe of the Top 20 with a SOS of 72 they have decent Game Control of 12.4. 0 T25Ws and only 2 QWs keep the from climbing much higher this week. #GoHawks
Again, no surprise. The #Hawkeyes resume is good enough to get them on the fringe of the Top 20 with a SOS of 72 they have decent Game Control of 12.4. 0 T25Ws and only 2 QWs keep the from climbing much higher this week. #GoHawks
19 #Texas (proj 21)
The #Longhorns resume is the best of the 3 loss P5 teams in this poll. SOS is at 27 with 2 T25Ws and 3 QWs. Game Control is poor at 7.1; & they do have what the committee considers a Bad Loss against #TCU which keeps them on the fringe of the Top 20. #HookEm
The #Longhorns resume is the best of the 3 loss P5 teams in this poll. SOS is at 27 with 2 T25Ws and 3 QWs. Game Control is poor at 7.1; & they do have what the committee considers a Bad Loss against #TCU which keeps them on the fringe of the Top 20. #HookEm
18 #Memphis (proj 18)
This is right where the #Tigers were modeled. SOS is 50 with 2 T25Ws and 3 QWs. Game Control is moderate at 15.3. No surprise here.
This is right where the #Tigers were modeled. SOS is 50 with 2 T25Ws and 3 QWs. Game Control is moderate at 15.3. No surprise here.
17 #Cincinnati (proj 17)
Again, no surprise. (I warned you there weren't going to be surprises) Right where the #Bearcats were modeled to be. SOS is 80 with 3 QWs. #Cincinnati and #Memphis will continue to be next to each other until they play unless they lose before hand.
Again, no surprise. (I warned you there weren't going to be surprises) Right where the #Bearcats were modeled to be. SOS is 80 with 3 QWs. #Cincinnati and #Memphis will continue to be next to each other until they play unless they lose before hand.
16 #NotreDame (proj 16)
The #Irish have good SOS at 31, with decent Game Control at 15.0. The problem w/ Irish resume is a lack of T25Ws as in no T25Ws. They do have 4 QWs however keeping them just outside the Top 15. #GoIrish
The #Irish have good SOS at 31, with decent Game Control at 15.0. The problem w/ Irish resume is a lack of T25Ws as in no T25Ws. They do have 4 QWs however keeping them just outside the Top 15. #GoIrish
15 #Michigan (proj 15)
The #Wolverines continue to hold steady at the end of the Top 15 with a resume that includes a SOS of 52, 2 T25Ws, 3 QWs. What keeps them here is the lowest Game Control in the Top 15 at 14.7. #GoBlue
The #Wolverines continue to hold steady at the end of the Top 15 with a resume that includes a SOS of 52, 2 T25Ws, 3 QWs. What keeps them here is the lowest Game Control in the Top 15 at 14.7. #GoBlue
14 #Wisconsin (proj 14)
Spot on again. No surprise. The #Badgers resume is very similar to that of #Michigan. SOS of 48, 2 T25Ws, 3 QWs. The difference the Game Control is good at 21.8. The Badgers will have opportunities to rise up the rankings but their rise is capped.
Spot on again. No surprise. The #Badgers resume is very similar to that of #Michigan. SOS of 48, 2 T25Ws, 3 QWs. The difference the Game Control is good at 21.8. The Badgers will have opportunities to rise up the rankings but their rise is capped.
13 #Baylor (proj 13)
Exactly where the #Bears are modeled using the same process the committee has used for 5 yrs. It has little to do w/ brand. The SOS is 119. Having that bad of a schedthey need great Game Control & they don't at only 16.3. Do have 2 T25Ws & 3 QWs. #SicEm
Exactly where the #Bears are modeled using the same process the committee has used for 5 yrs. It has little to do w/ brand. The SOS is 119. Having that bad of a schedthey need great Game Control & they don't at only 16.3. Do have 2 T25Ws & 3 QWs. #SicEm
12 #Auburn (proj 12)
Again, spot on. (Getting redundant huh?) Auburn has low Game Control at 15.2; but unlike Baylor they've achieved a similar Game Control as the Bears w/ a SOS ranked 16. They have 1 T25W and 3 QWs. Games vs Georgia & Alabama give more opportunity to rise.
Again, spot on. (Getting redundant huh?) Auburn has low Game Control at 15.2; but unlike Baylor they've achieved a similar Game Control as the Bears w/ a SOS ranked 16. They have 1 T25W and 3 QWs. Games vs Georgia & Alabama give more opportunity to rise.
11 #Florida (proj 11)
Very similar resume as #Auburn with a Game Control of 18.3, SOS of 15, 1 T25W & 2 QWs. The #Gators do have a H2H win vs Auburn but their ceiling is limited due to a poor remaining schedule. Look for them to remain on the fringe of the Top 10. #GoGators
Very similar resume as #Auburn with a Game Control of 18.3, SOS of 15, 1 T25W & 2 QWs. The #Gators do have a H2H win vs Auburn but their ceiling is limited due to a poor remaining schedule. Look for them to remain on the fringe of the Top 10. #GoGators
10 #Oklahoma (proj 10)
The #Sooners had a good opportunity this wknd but the close win vs ISU hurt their Game Control. W/ a SOS of 97 the #Sooners need excellent GC & they have better than most w/ 23.4; just not enough to overcome that SOS at this time w/ only 2 QWs on resume.
The #Sooners had a good opportunity this wknd but the close win vs ISU hurt their Game Control. W/ a SOS of 97 the #Sooners need excellent GC & they have better than most w/ 23.4; just not enough to overcome that SOS at this time w/ only 2 QWs on resume.
9 #PennState (proj 8)
No surprise. The #NittanyLions have a good SOS at 32, good Game Control at 25.1 and 4 QWs, with 2 T25Ws. The loss to Minnesota hurt; but PSU still controls their own destiny to make the Playoff. Will have to win out to do so though. #WeAre
No surprise. The #NittanyLions have a good SOS at 32, good Game Control at 25.1 and 4 QWs, with 2 T25Ws. The loss to Minnesota hurt; but PSU still controls their own destiny to make the Playoff. Will have to win out to do so though. #WeAre
8 #Minnesota (proj 7)
Right where the #Gophers were modeled. Minn has a low SOS ranking at 81 and relatively low Game Control at 16.9. They do have 3 QWs and 1 T25W though putting them here. They will have to win out to make the playoff, there is no room for error. #SkiUMah
Right where the #Gophers were modeled. Minn has a low SOS ranking at 81 and relatively low Game Control at 16.9. They do have 3 QWs and 1 T25W though putting them here. They will have to win out to make the playoff, there is no room for error. #SkiUMah
7 #Utah (proj 9)
If you squint a bit, there might be a little intrigue here. Not much tho. The #Utes have a SOS of 94 & Game Control of 20.9; similar to the #Sooners. So why the ranking disparity? Utah has 4 QWs to Oklahomas 2. The Utes will need to win out to have any hope.
If you squint a bit, there might be a little intrigue here. Not much tho. The #Utes have a SOS of 94 & Game Control of 20.9; similar to the #Sooners. So why the ranking disparity? Utah has 4 QWs to Oklahomas 2. The Utes will need to win out to have any hope.
6 #Oregon (proj 5)
Right where the #Ducks were modeled to be. They might have a slight gripe they werent 5; but not much. This is the #Pac12's best chance at a Playoff team. SOS of 28, 4 QWs, GC of 22.4. Only flaw, 0 T25Ws. That would change w/ a Title game win. #GoDucks
Right where the #Ducks were modeled to be. They might have a slight gripe they werent 5; but not much. This is the #Pac12's best chance at a Playoff team. SOS of 28, 4 QWs, GC of 22.4. Only flaw, 0 T25Ws. That would change w/ a Title game win. #GoDucks
5 #Alabama (proj 6)
The #Tide's SOS is 101, 0 T25Ws & only 2 QWs; so what keeps them in the Top 5? They are Top 3 in Game Control at 29.1. The SOS will improve a bit in the next few wks; but it may not be enough to get the #Tide in the playoffs. This is pry their ceiling. #RTR
The #Tide's SOS is 101, 0 T25Ws & only 2 QWs; so what keeps them in the Top 5? They are Top 3 in Game Control at 29.1. The SOS will improve a bit in the next few wks; but it may not be enough to get the #Tide in the playoffs. This is pry their ceiling. #RTR
4 #Georgia (proj 4)
Exactly where the process the committee has followed for 5 yrs puts them. The #Dawgs do have a Bad Loss in SC; but their SOS is 65, Game Control is good at 23.6, they have 2 T25Ws & 4 QWs landing them at 4. Theyll have 2 win out 2 make the playoffs. #GoDawgs
Exactly where the process the committee has followed for 5 yrs puts them. The #Dawgs do have a Bad Loss in SC; but their SOS is 65, Game Control is good at 23.6, they have 2 T25Ws & 4 QWs landing them at 4. Theyll have 2 win out 2 make the playoffs. #GoDawgs
3 #Clemson (proj 3)
Spot on. The #Tigers have benefited greatly from the upsets the past 2 weeks. Their SOS is 88 w/ 0 T25Ws & 2 QWs; but like #Bama what keeps them afloat is excellent Game Control at 33.9 (2nd best). Theyll need to win out but the Tigers should be in. #ALLIN
Spot on. The #Tigers have benefited greatly from the upsets the past 2 weeks. Their SOS is 88 w/ 0 T25Ws & 2 QWs; but like #Bama what keeps them afloat is excellent Game Control at 33.9 (2nd best). Theyll need to win out but the Tigers should be in. #ALLIN
2 #OhioState (proj 2)
The #Buckeyes SOS slid a bit to 45 this week; but they still hold the highest Game Control at 42.4 and have 5 QWs along with 2 T25Ws. Very solid resume & should they win out would be a Top 2 seed. One of the few teams who may get in w/ a loss. #GoBucks
The #Buckeyes SOS slid a bit to 45 this week; but they still hold the highest Game Control at 42.4 and have 5 QWs along with 2 T25Ws. Very solid resume & should they win out would be a Top 2 seed. One of the few teams who may get in w/ a loss. #GoBucks
1 #LSU (proj 1)
As projected, the Tigers move into the top spot. The Tigers Game Control isnt what the #Buckeyes is at 24.3; but it is still good. The rest of their resume is what gets them at 1. 6 QWs, 3 T25Ws. Excellent resume & winning out will be a Top 2 seed. #GeauxTigers
As projected, the Tigers move into the top spot. The Tigers Game Control isnt what the #Buckeyes is at 24.3; but it is still good. The rest of their resume is what gets them at 1. 6 QWs, 3 T25Ws. Excellent resume & winning out will be a Top 2 seed. #GeauxTigers
