Asking questions (in good faith!) can be dangerous these days šŸ¤·ā€ā™‚ļø:
I am not even a republican (nor democrat!). Iā€™m a political atheist. Not that any of these things are relevant. I, with my cognitive biases and imperfect faculties, seek to understand. And itā€™s dangerous these days to seek understanding.
One last addition to thread: you donā€™t need an opinion on everything. Or express your opinion, every single time, you have one. Iā€™ve been watching the last few days on this Hansel + Gretel, or whatever. Know whatā€™s interesting? I learned about her not from her fans, but critics!
Itā€™s a loss for truth seekers, that twitter suspended @groditi account. Sucks for me @NewRiverInvest blocked me. heā€™s gotten so many things correct, or at least offered very insightful takes. Even some of his seemingly nuts political takes ~2016. They were more or less predictive
I may be in minority, but my opinions have and do change, on nearly all matters. Politics being one of them. May take a few years. But itā€™s the statements /opinions that bother me most (at the time) that tend to have most long lasting influence on my thoughts.
I wasnā€™t disappointed as much as I was amused by getting blocked by:
On this note, and in spirit of @groditi here is a prognostication: unity/unification as a political/social/cultural priority will emerge in reaction against the current nationalistic/insularity wave that really took off 2015/2016. Iā€™m early. The latter cycle still has legs.
Iā€™m so early to this, itā€™s to the point of sounding stupid/wrong. @groditi described violence as political acts in 2016. Sounded wrong then. I forget if his points were prescriptive or predictive; no matter. He was 100% right. Itā€™s the end game to current cycle (which we are in)
Not sure if thereā€™s a clear investment theme when we move from the present cycle to the unity/unification cycle. However, I believe for pretty much every other facet of life, this will matter. Politics currently is dividing families, friends, spouses, etc. this will crescendo.
This division / rising animosity between friends, family, spouses, community groups, etc will rise and it climaxes. And from that aftermath, after all havoc and chaos, will emerge the importance unity/unification as political/social/cultural priority.
Americans who lived through the civil war era (all dead) as well as Chinese + Indians who lived through post WW II (still alive and in leadership), these respective generations valued unity as a political/social/cultural priority. We donā€™t ... yet. We will. #LSTShallowThoughts
The leading indicators for nationalism/tribalism/insularity were all there after 2008 and before 2015-2016. Now itā€™s talked about everywhere. But I dont this is a trend to ā€˜fadeā€™ just yet. As I said earlier, this trend still has legs... but it will seed unity as priority.
What bothered me in (2015/2016), was that @groditi / @NewRiverInvest sounded to me (maybe I misunderstood?) like he was not just predicting violence resulting from politics, but advocating it ? Advocating because he saw it as ultimately inevitable, might as well front run?
3 years later: whether I understood correctly, and he was prescribing it, or I misunderstood & he was predicting it, at this point no matter: in either scenario, he was ahead of the curve. Itā€™s an inconvenient but sad truth : political change often comes with coercion.
The American Revolution was not won by ā€œsoul forceā€; Civil War was not won by ā€œcivil disobedienceā€; look outside the confines of US history (a history where sample size is limited); same conclusion. Violence is a feature, not bug, of political change, historically speaking.
Gandhi and Martin Luther King have been sources of personal inspiration for me; yet they were the exceptions of history, not the rule. And the latter was hated by most Americans during his life, he was persecuted by the us government! His non violence was met with violence.
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