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THREAD: This is where i'll be posting all of my ratings for the US House, US Senate, and US Presidential elections for 2020, updating them as I see fit.
SEPTEMBER 4, 2019:
Presidency: tossup
Senate: tossup
House: likely Democratic
Presidency: tossup
Senate: tossup
House: likely Democratic
Presidency:
As of right now, the Presidency looks like a tossup, but there is great potential for the Democrats to gain a lot of ground. I expect Wisconsin or Arizona to be the tipping points, and that Florida will continue to stick out like a sore thumb.
As of right now, the Presidency looks like a tossup, but there is great potential for the Democrats to gain a lot of ground. I expect Wisconsin or Arizona to be the tipping points, and that Florida will continue to stick out like a sore thumb.
MARCH 19, 2020:
Presidency: Lean D
Senate: Lean D
House: Safe D
Governorships: 26R-23D-1T
Presidency: Lean D
Senate: Lean D
House: Safe D
Governorships: 26R-23D-1T
Presidency:
President Trump appears to be bungling response to the coronavirus so far, while VP Biden has all but wrapped the Dem nomination. Biden looks especially strong in suburbs, and is well poised for November. https://www.270towin.com/maps/4B7LZ
President Trump appears to be bungling response to the coronavirus so far, while VP Biden has all but wrapped the Dem nomination. Biden looks especially strong in suburbs, and is well poised for November. https://www.270towin.com/maps/4B7LZ
JANUARY 12, 2020:
Presidency: tossup/tilt D
Senate: tossup/tilt R
House: likely D
(note: I have removed tilt ratings and will not bring them back until November)
Presidency: tossup/tilt D
Senate: tossup/tilt R
House: likely D
(note: I have removed tilt ratings and will not bring them back until November)
Presidency:
I moved 3 states (NC, GA, PA) into the tossup column based on how much room Republicans have left to grow in rural areas. Dems are the favorite to win right now, but Trump is still strong in all of the tossups. https://www.270towin.com/maps/3oZ3Q
I moved 3 states (NC, GA, PA) into the tossup column based on how much room Republicans have left to grow in rural areas. Dems are the favorite to win right now, but Trump is still strong in all of the tossups. https://www.270towin.com/maps/3oZ3Q
APRIL 16, 2020:
No change in chamber ratings, and no changes on either the Presidential or gubernatorial maps. One change in the Senate, and ten in the House. 7 towards Democrats, 3 towards Republicans.
No change in chamber ratings, and no changes on either the Presidential or gubernatorial maps. One change in the Senate, and ten in the House. 7 towards Democrats, 3 towards Republicans.
Senate: https://www.270towin.com/2020-senate-election/a6xb48
The one change today is in Texas, which i'm moving from Lean R to Likely R after seeing poor fundraising reports from the two Democratic candidates ahead of an expensive runoff. Heavy investment in the fall will be needed to flip this seat.
The one change today is in Texas, which i'm moving from Lean R to Likely R after seeing poor fundraising reports from the two Democratic candidates ahead of an expensive runoff. Heavy investment in the fall will be needed to flip this seat.
OCTOBER 17, 2019:
Presidency: tossup
Senate: tossup
House: likely Democratic
Presidency: tossup
Senate: tossup
House: likely Democratic
Presidency:
https://www.270towin.com/maps/j4LYx
Not a whole lot has changed in the Presidential race since my last ratings. I re-assessed some ratings from last time I thought were inaccurate, and made small changes in Maine and Nebraska based off of continuing trends in LA-Gov and NC-09.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/j4LYx
Not a whole lot has changed in the Presidential race since my last ratings. I re-assessed some ratings from last time I thought were inaccurate, and made small changes in Maine and Nebraska based off of continuing trends in LA-Gov and NC-09.
Senate:
https://www.270towin.com/2020-senate-election/aJqgOl
No ratings changes since last time. I'm not particularly worried about TX or GA just yet, even though there are split fields with Dems raising un-impressive amounts of money. I thought about moving ME and AZ, where incumbents were srsly outraised.
https://www.270towin.com/2020-senate-election/aJqgOl
No ratings changes since last time. I'm not particularly worried about TX or GA just yet, even though there are split fields with Dems raising un-impressive amounts of money. I thought about moving ME and AZ, where incumbents were srsly outraised.
House:
https://www.270towin.com/2020-house-election/DpNrB1p
10 changes here, all in different directions. I moved NC-09 to Likely R given the resolved special election, and a number of others. I'll be posting a log keeping track of all ratings changes.
https://www.270towin.com/2020-house-election/DpNrB1p
10 changes here, all in different directions. I moved NC-09 to Likely R given the resolved special election, and a number of others. I'll be posting a log keeping track of all ratings changes.
