1) I just did a back of the envelope calculation about the `Massacre of Muslims in Jammu'. Let us look at the numbers coldly. There were no massacres of Muslims in Poonch-Rajouri [it was the Hindus and Sikhs massacred there by Pakistanis and their tribal allies] or Doda.
2) The attacks against the Muslims were limited to the three districts of Jammu, Udhampur [very limited here] and Kathua. Let us now look at the individual numbers of Muslims in 1941 in the three districts
Kathua=45.22K
Udhampur=70.21K
Jammu=160.2K
Now, let us look at the 1961 census [there was no census in J&K in 1951] for the numbers of Muslims in the three districts.
Kathua=27.01K
Udhampur=86.06K
Jammu=51.85K

Assume that the Muslim pop. grew by 15-30% in 20 years [I will give the upper and lower bounds separately].
4) Assuming 15% growth in Muslim pop., the numbers should have been
Kathua=52.00K
Udhampur=80.74K
Jammu=184.23K

The total comes to 316.97K, while actual population was 164.92K. In other words, 1.4 lakh [1.52 lakh with descendants] Muslims were expelled/killed in Jammu region.
5) Assuming 30% growth in Muslim pop, the numbers should have been
Kathua=58.76K
Udhampur=91.23K
Jammu=208.2K

The total comes to 358.32K, while the actual population was 164.92K. In other words, 1.66 lakh [1.93 lakh with descendants] were expelled killed in Jammu region.
6) Now let us look at the numbers in the individual districts. In Udhampur, the number of Muslims expelled varies from -6K to +5K. What this effectively says is that there was no killing/expulsion in Udhampur district. The expulsion/killing was limited to Kathua and Jammu.
7) The number of Muslims killed/expelled is
Kathua=21-24K
Jammu=1.21-1.35lakh.

The general ratio of dead to expelled was 1:14 for the whole of the Indian Union at the time of Partition and there is no reason to believe that the casualties were higher in Jammu.
8) Even assuming that Jammu had twice as many dead:expelled ratio as the rest of the country, the total number of dead Muslims in Jammu was 20-25K. The massive fraud of 2 lakh dead Muslims in Jammu is utter nonsense.
cc @KhajuriaManu @SaveSabrimala @DostKhan_Jammu @IllusionAgain Please take a look at the above.
You can follow @maidros78.
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