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I want to discuss some thoughts I've been having about public health advice. Specifically, I doubt that advice is aligned with my interests, or with the interests of the general public either, because it makes wrong assumptions about what I value.
Thoughts/contributions welcome.
Thoughts/contributions welcome.
General health risks can be conveyed in microlives, or 30-minute units of life expectancy. Half a liter of wine, two cigarettes, or two hours of TV in a day are all roughly -1 microlife, or a loss of 30 minutes. The first 20 minutes of exercise in a day is +2, a one hour gain.
Microlives are not literal minutes, but expectations. In microlives a broad chance of a slightly shorter life may equal a narrow chance of a much earlier death. They are also counted uniformly across lifespan. A microlife of youth and a microlife of old age are weighted the same.
