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Anton Spisak
AntonSpisak
Amid all the announcements today, it's easy to overlook that the OBR has updated its scenario on a no-deal Brexit. It exposes an undeniably hard reality for the Govt that
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A couple of notable points from the agreed choreography for the final phase:The two sides have now agreed to work on the basis of legal texts. This is the single
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For all the Brexit noise over the last week, the fundamentals haven't changed much. There are four conditions that have to fall into place for a deal to be done
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10 reasons why it's pointless to talk about an "Australian solution" - a phrase we'll hear a lot from government in the coming weeks.Reason 1: The context matters. When it
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A niche thread about state aid, Brexit, and Switzerland.(With an idea for how the UK and the EU could break the negotiating deadlock over state aid.)https://institute.global/policy/swiss-solution-break-brexit-stalemate-over-state-aid 1. If
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Interesting piece by @JGForsyth, but it seems to represent just one perspective inside HMG (perhaps that of CO and HMT, but not necessarily No10). My understanding is that key players
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Amid all the noise, let's take a look at what would actually happen if the UK were to legislate contrary to its international commitments in the withdrawal treaty. What would
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It's true, as @JGForsyth says, that No10 prefers no-deal to a deal that would curb UK ability to subsidise domestic business. But this view is based on a false view
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