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#Serology
Jens Nordvig
jnordvig
I do forecasting, not epidemiology. But what do you do when all forecasting relies on epidemiology? Well, you have to get on with it.SOME OBSERVATIONS: t-cells may be relevant to
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David Sheppard
OilSheppard
Interesting numbers from Sir Patrick Vallance based on serology tests:~10% of Londoners thought to have had coronavirus~4% for rest of UKThat implies ~3m total across UK from population of 66m
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Elaine 🦉🇮🇨
eiaine
Older examples: Skype/VoIP to bypass FCC, Amazon avoidance of sales tax, Facebook and Section 230, p2p lending. UNPOPULAR OPINION #2: Theranos wasn't a scam, it was simply ahead of its
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AG
AGHamilton29
If this is accurate, it would = ~ 2.7M New York residents having had the virus (about 10x # of confirmed cases). Given 15K deaths, that would be ~0.55% mortality
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OrangeCoin
Orang3Coin
Using the latest NHS data, I've estimated a survival rate per age group. Assumptions -8% infected. Whitty mentioned, 10% of population.Assume 8% across the board(not likely)2011 census data(pop higher now)
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Andrea Prinzi SM(ASCP), MPH, CPH🧫🔬
andreaprinzi
Thoughts on upcoming #COVID19 #serology tests:This is actually quite a challenge! (#Diagnostics often involve a lot of complexities). There is a lot of pressure to roll these tests out, but
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Nanyingi Mark 🏀⛹️♂️🚴
Nanyingih
CORONAVIRUS #LOCKDOWN ?Thread #Lockingdown the entire population by assuming that anyone could be carrying the virus is impractical, the most pragmatic approach would be a more nuanced and data-driven approach
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Brian Harris
harrisimo
A first hand account of the reality of covid19 testing in this country.Summary: every bit as hopeless as you'd imagine.Meanwhile friend of mine on the ONS test cohort (serology tests
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Scott Gottlieb, MD
ScottGottliebMD
THREAD: There’s uncertainty how many Americans were already exposed to #COVID19 and developed immunity. Until we do widespread serological testing to see who has antibodies, we won’t know for sure.
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Derek Thompson
DKThomp
The next 6 months, per Morgan Stanley's head of biotechBy May: Peak in new cases nationally By June: Testing capacity hits 1M/day By July: Serology testing widely available By Aug:
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J.D. Vance
JDVance1
New study in the Netherlands with about 3 percent showing COVID antibodies. If representative, means 1) about 15 cases for every confirmed case and 2) the country is very far
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Health Nerd
GidMK
I find this immensely frustratingThere is actually not really any evidence at all that serology surveys are 'flawed' or 'dramatically underestimate' how many people have had COVID-19Sigh This headline is
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Bill Hanage
BillHanage
Who feels like a sobering wake up call? Well here goes. This paper from @hsalje et al (inc @SCauchemez) examines what we can learn from France’s initial surge in the
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Soumya
skarlamangla
LA County just released the results of their antibody study. Tests found that 4.1% of the county's population has antibodies to the coronavirus. That figure is 55 times higher than
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Daniel T Leung
GlobalGutHealth
Now out: Our article in @SciImmunology on uses for SARS-CoV-2 serology. @JulietBryantBr1 @andrewazman @TheFerrariLab @ben83638 @maciekboni @KylaHayford @michaelmina_lab @isabelrodbar @yapboum2.https://immunology.sciencemag.org/content/5/47/
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Audi Kiskowski Byrne
a_haema
Suppose you wanted to develop a serology test that could be used for this purpose: to reliably identify a subset of people that have been exposed to covid19. False positives
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