#Estimates

Tim Harford

TimHarford

A friend of mine thinks it's too risky to go out, and asked me to do the maths for him. I did:https://www.ft.com/content/176b9bbe-56cf-4428-a0cd-070db2d8e6ff You need to make a lot of assumptions

Patrick Porter

PatPorter76

Re-reading the history of President Obama's statecraft...I'm more sympathetic than his many critics, given the dismal hand he was dealt (War on Terror + GFC + partisan fury), and his

Shannon Waters

sobittersosweet

This is not a new issue for BC. In the early days of the pandemic, it felt like a little benefit of the doubt was appropriate as the province tried

Mike Wasylik

MikeWas

Mortgage in the US are having a tough 2020. What does this mean? What should we expect in the coming months?https://twitter.com/the_real_fly/status/1275049180008976384 The 8% figure is based on a release by

UK Prime Minister

10DowningStreet

Thread 1/2: Coronavirus press conference slides (22 October 2020) Estimate of percentage of people testing positive for COVID-19 in England COVID-19 incidence estimates for England Patients admitted to hospital with

Guillermo D. Olmo BBC

BBCgolmo

As coronavirus spreads across Latin America, Venezuelan authorities have reported very few cases so far (167 confirmed, 9 deaths). Some people, including the Venezuelan opposition, dispute the figures. Thread follows.

David J. Gautieri

GuruFantasyWrld

We all know regression is coming for the Chargers.Rivers passed for 4,615 yards last year.Tyrod’s career high is 3,035 yards & Justin Herbert is a rookie.Even the most generous estimates

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transriddler

Not to be...you know, exactly as you would expect me to be, but as far as I can tell PotO fandom just like, doesn't talk much about the significance and

Nick Brown

sTeamTraen

Suppose you had a high degree of confidence that both of these were true:1. The real case fatality rate of #COVID19 in 40-50 year olds is 0.5%, and more or

Bridget Casey

BridgieCasey

The problem I really have with this whole new pandemic culture of shaming people for failing to adhere to your interpretation of social distancing & isolation rules is that it’s

M Matt Frank

dmmf7

Today, the city of New York released data for April 15, and the cumulative totals for the confirmed and probable Covid-19 fatalities = 11,477. Modeling indicates, that those fatalities represent

Erik Voeten

ErikVoeten

Fascinating and important decision by the German Constitutional Court on climate change. A few quick thoughts from an IL/IR perspectivehttps://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/29/world/europe/germany-high-court-climate-change-youth.html First, IPCC

Vincent Arel-Bundock

VincentAB

An important release of `modelsummary` just hit CRAN. This `R` package helps you build tables to summarize your statistical models. Yeah yeah, I know: tons of other packages can do

Dr Zoë Hyde

DrZoeHyde

Important work from @TWenseleers (whom you ought to be following).The Indian variant (B.1.617.2) may be 60% more transmissible than the UK variant (B.1.1.7), and 2.6 times more transmissible than the

Courtney Boen

CourtneyBoen

I spend a lot of time thinking abt how scientists measure "health," & the benefits, limitations, & trade-offs of various measures (mortality, diagnosis, self-reported, etc.). Each tells us something, but

Gabin Jean

GabinJean3

#hydroxychloroquine: je sais que c'est probablement inutile, parce que personne, dans un camp ou un autre, ne semble disposé à changer d'avis. Mais je me dis qu'il reste des gens