Joel Miller, Discover and Read the Best of Twitter Threads by @joel_c_miller

Joel Miller

joel_c_miller

I'm seeing a lot of sniping going on in Australian politics about whose fault the recent outbreak is, and whose "failure" it was. First - this discussion is absolutely crazy.Australia

A on whether we can protect high risk individuals by increasing infections in low risk individuals. Can it work?We need to be aware of what assumptions have to be true

A problem with armchair epidemiologists is that they can make very confident-sounding statements without acknowledging (or perhaps even recognizing) that those statements depend on assumptions.https://twitter.com/federicolois/status/1298631

A thread on how the lockdown in Victoria has affected Victoria and Australia. First to anyone who argues that "lockdowns don't work", objective observations disagree.We need reasonable discussion about whether

A new paper is out exploring the impact of heterogeneity on the herd immunity threshold.It explores two types of heterogeneity- variation in susceptibility - and variation in contact rate.https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.2

Melbourne has gone back into a lockdown...Some thoughts, explanation, and a warning for other parts of Australia that aren't (yet) in lockdown. A few weeks ago we were at 8

@mlipsitch has a thread about a pair of recent preprints (note - not peer reviewed) which show that due to heterogeneities, immunity acquired through infection can lead to "herd immunity"

The integral of secant has an interesting history - Was just thinking about it and thought I'd share: @stevenstrogatz @mathyawp @maths_kath int sec(x) dx = ln|sec(x) + tan(x)| +C In