Federico Andres Lois, Discover and Read the Best of Twitter Threads by @federicolois

Federico Andres Lois

federicolois

1/n Unpopular opinion here, but stay with me. As noted there is a vaccine hesitancy problem in many countries (as some like to call it). For example, many report that

1/n Epidemiological models are underdetermined. What @pjakma is doing is showing exactly that. You have to fight underdetermination with tooth and nails. I have wrote about this before, but as

Controversial opinion: those that say its not possible to shield the vulnerable, also won't be able to prove if there is a difference (or lack of it) between the trajectory

1/ Our preprint with @LDjaparidze is online at @medrxivpreprint"SARS-CoV-2 waves in Europe: A 2-stratum SEIRS model solution"https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.09.20210146v1 2/ We extended the SEIRS model to support s

Say you have a completly harmless virus (IFR=0) that can spread at R0=3.3 and you can find via PCR for 19 days. How many deaths per million would you find

[1/n] Well @gummibear737 pushed me into a position to have to explain our theory of how universal mitigations (for ex. lockdowns) kill over time more people than what Sweden did.