Solomon Messing
SolomonMg
Post on polling in 2020. TLDR: projections based only on past voting returns better predicted 2020 results than poll averages in battleground states. I review how we used this to
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THREAD: Facebook’s election announcement today may appear at first blush to help the left—which will benefit from higher turnout and a full count of mail-in ballots. But the story is
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Huge new FB/Insta research initiative to finally conduct an independent, pre-registered research on the 2020 election.https://medium.com/@2020_election_research_project/a-proposal-for-understanding-social-medias-impact-on-elections-4ca5b7aa
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THREAD: This week we @PACRONYM announced a major strategic shift toward building enthusiasm for Biden among 1.7m less-engaged, left-leaning voters in AZ, NC, WI, MI, PA, & GA. Georgia? Yep.
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