#Probability

Indiscipline, antigen tests & possible mutation behind Delhi Covid surge — Expert Panel ChiefAntigen tests create a false security in the people as both PCR & antigen takes swabs but
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JUST IN:FSCA imposes R122 million rand fine on Markus Jooste. This is for sending a message to Mr Du Toit giving him inside information regarding #Steinhoff in 2017. Jooste has
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Meanwhile first time in #human history CO2 #atmospheric concentration is set to reach 416 PPM. We crossed 415 last May. Never recorded in history of our #species. Last time when
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Guys boarding the #MachineLearning train by learning Python and a bunch of libraries and just plain old stacking and ensembling and stuff - is not going to get you anywhere.
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(1/20) Tweetorial on this statement…”…red flag…The investigators….already taken an interim look…did not stop the study early….dampens optimism for an overall positive outcome”Is this a red flag? Maybe…maybe not…depends on how
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The world's most valuable skill:Clarity of thought.The problem? There's no school for this.It takes time, patience and a lot of early career fumbling.Here are 10 cognitive distortions I faced early
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1/ If you're trying to get a simple macro-view of the current downturn, few people are as articulate as Howard Marks of Oaktree -- I've summarised his key insights below:
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1) Tesla's Autopilot driver assist product is now largely feature complete, but how much further does it have to progress to achieve reliability 3-5x greater than the average human &
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This is my favorite weekend of the year -- normally. Don't love golf? Read on anyways.This is Masters week. And for all of you who think golf is a game
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I want to talk about a toy model for reasoning about what viral genomics can and cannot tell us about #SARSCoV2 transmission.Suppose viral isolates from two people have *identical* genotypes.
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Believing that withholding a vote from Biden will accomplish some sort of left praxis requires believing that several things will happen, each of dubious morality and probability. Thread, I guess.
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Opening a can of Heinz Real Ghostbusters Pasta from 1992: a thread. (1/8) You might be wondering why I’d ruin such a collectible. Well, that’s why. The stuff inside was
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Similar to @GabrielScally’s comments on radio this morning, @SimonHarrisTD gave his clearest hint yesterday that post-#covid19ireland “normality” is a good while away yet: [mini-thread] After Dr Colm Henry told me
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Recent Psych Science paper used national IQ to predict some stuff:I ran some simple probability calculations and the measure they used says that 43% of Africans are mentally retarded (IQ
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Selling content is like helping someone else put together a puzzle There’s a image that you have in your mind or a strategy that the other person needs to see
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Hi @JuliaHB1 - your claim here is highly misleading, and misunderstands #CovidTesting. I'll try explain why: firstly, the sensitivity of PCR #COVID19 test is ~98%, specificity 98.9%. Now, false positives
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