#Uncertainty

Dr Dominic Pimenta 💙 *Please* Just Stay At Home

DrDomPimenta

A thread about how COVID-deaths are recorded. (Full disclosure: I have personally written death certificates, and also overseen and investigated causes of death to countersign them, including COVID death certificates,

Warren Pearce

WarrenPearce

Watching Lockdown 1.0 now on BBC2, looks to be shedding some new light on scientific advice and how it informed policy. Highlighting how NERVTAG identified the risk as 'low' in

Sam Caldwell

KingSysiphus

I talked to my mom today, we talked about my fears for this nation. I've seen a lot in life. Some of it is public. Most of it I will

Neville Mandimika

nevmandimika

Your thinking about #Zimbabwe equities may be wrong[Thread] Let’s start with the basics: the goal of any investment is to maximise return while minimizing risk (Investments 101 stuff), yet ¾

Nate Silver

NateSilver538

See, this is why the "fundamentals" are kind of overrated. It's not at all obvious that they would have favored Bush in 1988 or Clinton in 1992 **unless you know

Wilhelm Hofmann

wilhelm_hofmann

What makes us trust or distrust one another? Happy to share a new #preprint on "trust in everyday life" together with Alexa Weiss, @corinnamichels7, Pascal Burgmer, Thomas Mussweiler, and Axel

Bill Hayton

bill_hayton

China’s National People’s Congress Standing Committee is seeking public comments on a draft Coast Guard Law [海警法] for the South China Sea It looks like anyone can comment! https://npcobserver.com/2020/11/04/npcsc-solicits-public-c

Tyler Ray

DefenseMinister

Some Sens draft evaluations now so I thought I'd do a silly exercise that is no way scientific and looked at the Mann drafts 2015-2019 (excluding 2020 because it's too

Daniel Reeders 🏳️‍⚧️

engagedpractx

I'm seeing people with absolutely no data other than their own feelings of alarm saying 'we reopened way too soon.'Thing is, this is a novel pathogen with unknown epi dynamics.

Raymond Hettinger

raymondh

#Python tip: Given inexact data, subtracting nearly equalvalues increases relative error significantly morethan absolute error.4.6 ± 0.2 Age of Earth (4.3%)4.2 ± 0.1 Age of Oceans (2.4%)___0.4 ± 0.3 Huge

Ashleigh Tuite

AshTuite

I’ve been thinking a lot about the @SickKidsNews report on schools re-opening in Ontario and the response to that report. For me, what is so jarring about the report is

Minorities in STEM

MinoritySTEM

#SciComm covers a mind-boggling set of skills and fields. You'll find us writing articles or books, making videos, designing infographics, presenting at festivals, etc. etc. What's key is we all

Rachael Meager

economeager

Hello! Tamara Broderick, Ryan Giordano and I have a new working paper out!! It's called "An Automatic Finite-Sample Robustness Metric: Can Dropping a Little Data Change Conclusions?" https://arxiv.org/abs/2011.14999 Here

frankspencer

frankspencer

A on embracing uncertainty while still promoting individual & collective agency in creating & designing reality. 1st, it’s important to understand the perceived dichotomy: creating/designing could suggest human control

Alex Krüger

krugermacro

Markets, just as polls, don't assign Trump high odds of winning. Traders have been actively putting Biden trades on since late September. Will see large unwinds if Trump wins. Don't

Prof. Gavin Yamey MD MPH

GYamey

On Feb 20 2019 @DukeCPIGH attended a joint @WorldBank @CEPIvaccines consultation in DC on 'Financing COVID-19 Vaccine Development.' We co-authored a background paper on funding vaccine development & manufacturing. I

By continuing to use the site, you are consenting to the use of cookies as explained in our Cookie Policy to improve your experience.