#Uncertainty

Mostly Borrowed Ideas

borrowed_ideas

1/ Thread: Buffett's genius in investing in the Unknown and UnknowableIn 2006, Richard Zeckhauser wrote an intriguing paper on "Investing in the Unknown and Unknowable", and one of the protagonists

Walid Gellad, MD MPH

walidgellad

This study is getting a lot of attention, but I’m not sure if people are reading it. There is no guarantee these household contacts didn’t get infection at same time,

Mahka Moeen

mah_kaa

The scientific uncertainty may be resolved. But, for new products to become mainstream, uncertainties about ecosystem and legitimizing institutions need to be resolved too. Can we scale the production &

Cam Iadeluca

cameroniadeluca

1/ Let's talk Alteryx - $AYX Q3 ER:Stock is getting punished today. It's currently -15% on the day.In my opinion, it is unfairly getting punished for a few things. I'm

Ian Dunt

IanDunt

So easy to just say 'the Muslim ban is over' and leave it at that. But most people have no idea of the scale of human suffering repaired by doing

Oliver Willis

owillis

one black president.one.and they lost their damned minds.one!one in a 219-year chain of events.just one!and they totally lost their shit.*one* and it was the least scary one. like, on purpose,

Jim Tankersley

jimtankersley

I'm waiting to be edited on two stories, I'm giddy over the Mookie Betts news and so, for all of you who share my dual passions for baseball and economics,

Tyler Bryant

tyler_bryant

"we have all the technology we need" to address climate change is only true in a virtual alien environment of an energy modeler's creation It is misleading to think that

Derek Cummings

datcummings

Why would we think that children don't get infected and transmit SARS-COV-2? Given the challenge of conducting these studies and the potential for bias due to the differential social disruption

Ryan Rishaug

TSNRyanRishaug

Trade deadline a few months away, am told at this point there has been no resumption in talks between the Oilers and RNH camp. Talks broke off abruptly before the

Trevor Bedford

trvrb

Given that the US has not detected SARS-CoV-2 variant viruses 501Y.V1 or 501Y.V2, what bounds can we place on their current frequency in the US based on sample counts? 1/12https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1341446447045087232

viona ੈ♡

hellanology

𝗺𝗼𝗱𝗮𝗹 𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗯𝘀 ; [ 𝗮 𝘁𝗵𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗯𝘆 𝘃𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮 ] the nine modal verbs are :can, could, may, might, will, would, shall, should and must. modal verbs add information to other

Lisa Bari 😷 (she/her/hers)

lisabari

With the (preliminary, press release only) news about the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine, I wanted to highlight something that has been worrying me since..let's say Saturday at 11:30 AM ET. There are

Sister True Dedication

sr_dedication

Zen and the art of breathing through election season(a thread) 1/ Be real. Feel all the feels. To be Zen is to be authentic, real and true. Embracing life in

Nishtha Gehija

nishthagehija26

There are books that teach you about money.Then there are books that teach you about money like no one else does.@morganhousel's Psychology of Money falls in the latter.18 lessons from

Zavén Sargsyan

sargsyanz

Important point about post-hoc decision analysis Similarly, just because the outcome was good doesn’t mean decisions were right / a mistake wasn’t made.I find helpful the analogies of decision-making (and

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