#Forecasts

Oscar Archer

OskaArcher

Numbers from @energycouncilau: if 2020 shows the same ultimate proportional increase as 2019 did, I roughly estimate nearly 9,500 rooftop PV + battery installations this year. https://www.energycouncil.com.au/reports/ https://docs.goo

Kate Davidson

KateDavidson

State and local governments last year slashed their revenue forecasts when the pandemic hit. The fiscal picture hasn’t been nearly as dire as feared in many places. The problem: costs

Libby Jackson

LibbyJackson__

It's not often I disagree with @caitlinmoran. But in this case, some facts. In the UK, each tax payer pays about £1 per year to be a part of @esa's

Akshat Rathi

AkshatRathi

In a year when rich got richer and poor got poorer, during an economic recession, there's no shortage of flaws to fix in capitalism. Low-hanging fruit: getting oil companies to

Powerhouse

JoinPowerhouse

California is facing unprecedented challenges to its grid.Never in the history of the modern electric grid, as @gregg_dixon explains, has there been an expected 4,000 MW capacity deficiency.Here are four

Scott Duncan

ScottDuncanWX

Arctic heatwaves have happened before. Nothing to worry about then, right?There has been so much skepticism but there is reason to be alarmed and this is why...[The inconvenient follow-up thread]

David Gardner

byDavidGardner

The dunking on 538 is pretty ignorant. Here's a line from Nate's final pre-election post: "The probable result of a 2016-style polling error would be a Biden victory but one

Simon Young

MrYoungMaths

Have you ever wondered what a weather forecast means when it says “There is an 80% chance of rain”? I understand that it means that rain is pretty likely, but

Phil

BO3673

A short thread on MoDs EP 2020-30. It's unaffordable at the moment, it may become more unaffordable, and even if all opportunities materialise, it's still unaffordable. Did I mention it's

John Berry

aniccia

Time to end the myth 60% of US car trips are a good basis for micromobility TAM.The distribution of US light vehicle (car+SUV+truck+van) trips by average trip speed (mph), from

Sanjeev Sanyal

sanjeevsanyal

When the #COVID19 lockdown was imposed in India in March, leading public figures & journalists spread the prediction that over 3-500mn Indians would be infected and upto 2mn would die

David Rubin, MD, MSCE

davidrubinmd

Thread 1/8: In these dog days of summer, we see in our weekly @PolicyLabCHOP #COVID19 models the fog of a shifting pandemic in the U.S. & increased noise from testing

Peter Williams

peterdwilliams

Some quick thoughts as specifically related to inflation expectations estimationBEIs = expected inflation + inflation risk premium - TIPS liquidity effect + model errorBelow I'm going to discuss how expected

Implied Upside

markets_on

1/ An interesting concept to think about is that several D2C e-commerce businesses have subsequently moved into B&M to compliment their digital offering Surely there are others, but examples include:

Shortsighted Capital

ShortSightedCap

We have all seen the BCG "value creation" chart: Like I think it has been beaten into the head of every analyst since like 2015. It's right up there with

Ian Birrell

ianbirrell

Some quotes from self-declared superforecaster Dominic Cummings that are interesting in light of the PM's refusal to hire anyone that challenges him and this government's shambolic incompetence on everything from

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