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Sweden is publishing forecasts for its own vaccine deliveries.
This is really important data because we can adjust for Ireland's population since we're part of the same EU deliveries.
Good news in the following tweets...
1/ https://twitter.com/jfkirkegaard/status/1362018257906065408/
This is really important data because we can adjust for Ireland's population since we're part of the same EU deliveries.
Good news in the following tweets...
1/ https://twitter.com/jfkirkegaard/status/1362018257906065408/
This is the Swedish data in a table.
They're forecasting a big jump in AZ deliveries in March, with Moderna and Pfizer both moving up strongly.
April, May and June show nearly 4 million doses delivered each month!
Janssen and Curevac are a boost.
2/
https://www.folkhalsomyndigheten.se/smittskydd-beredskap/utbrott/aktuella-utbrott/covid-19/vaccination-mot-covid-19/statistik/prognos-av-vaccinleveranser/
They're forecasting a big jump in AZ deliveries in March, with Moderna and Pfizer both moving up strongly.
April, May and June show nearly 4 million doses delivered each month!
Janssen and Curevac are a boost.
2/
https://www.folkhalsomyndigheten.se/smittskydd-beredskap/utbrott/aktuella-utbrott/covid-19/vaccination-mot-covid-19/statistik/prognos-av-vaccinleveranser/
Population:
- Sweden, 10,327,589
- Ireland, 4,964,440
So for every ~two doses going to Sweden, ~one should be coming to Ireland.
3/
- Sweden, 10,327,589
- Ireland, 4,964,440
So for every ~two doses going to Sweden, ~one should be coming to Ireland.
3/
By these forecasts (subject to change, of course), Ireland will have received over 6.5 million doses by the end of June.
This is stellar stuff.
It means two-thirds of the total population can be vaccinated.
4/
This is stellar stuff.
It means two-thirds of the total population can be vaccinated.
4/
Pfizer accounts for 46% of the deliveries by June. AstraZeneca for 26% and Moderna for just 8%.
The figures assume that Curevac and Janssen are approved and that they distribute from April onwards.
5/
The figures assume that Curevac and Janssen are approved and that they distribute from April onwards.
5/
Irish authorities are being cautious not to give too high figures, only for them to be brought down if deliveries don't materialise.
Sweden doesn't seem to mind putting out their current expectations. These number may not materialise, but there's a good chance they do too.
6/6
Sweden doesn't seem to mind putting out their current expectations. These number may not materialise, but there's a good chance they do too.
6/6
