new technical briefing on UK variant
From @PHE_uk
Highlights include:
VOC1 now clearly the endemic strain UK
Almost
of cases in London and South East are VOC1
Brief synopsis on the mortality analysis of matched cohort SGTF data which showed
65 deaths among wild type cases vs 104 in UK variant cases
Mortality risk ratio of 1.65 (1.21-2.25)
65 deaths among wild type cases vs 104 in UK variant cases
Mortality risk ratio of 1.65 (1.21-2.25)
Updated secondary attack rate analysis NHS T&T data.
Yet more evidence of
transmissibility.
~3 MILLION contacts analysed 
25-40% attack rate in SGTF cohort (866k contacts) (all ages, all regions)
Huge numbers narrowing that point estimate to ~1/3 more infectious.
Yet more evidence of
transmissibility.
~3 MILLION contacts analysed 
25-40% attack rate in SGTF cohort (866k contacts) (all ages, all regions) Huge numbers narrowing that point estimate to ~1/3 more infectious.
11-55% attack rate in genomic cohort (37k contacts) Smaller numbers, wider range but still mid-point around 1/3 more infectious
That feeling when you forget to link the report in the first Tweet 

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/957504/Variant_of_Concern_VOC_202012_01_Technical_Briefing_5_England.pdf


https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/957504/Variant_of_Concern_VOC_202012_01_Technical_Briefing_5_England.pdf
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