Thread by @AlixJoan1, Covid DataI have about 50 tweets to write on my to do [...]

Christine Padgham 💔

AlixJoan1

Covid Data

I have about 50 tweets to write on my to do list.... I keep finding more and more stuff to write and overwhelming myself

But I'm just going to put this here from today's data.

What IS this? How can a winter virus be so well suppressed - in winter?

1/3

Covid DataI have about 50 tweets to write on my to do list.... I keep finding more and more stuff to write and overwhelming myself But I'm just going to put this here from today's data.What IS this? How can a winter virus be so well suppressed - in winter?1/3

We see a 48% reduction in positives since peak on 23rd October.

I can think of no reasons this would happen in winter for a winter virus. The restrictions are nonsensical, but even if they worked there has been no big change in the behaviour of people since October.

2/3

The hospitalisation & ITU charts also show v encouraging reduction - also incredible for a winter virus in early winter.

Either we are dealing with v bad data now... or we are v fast approaching herd immunity. Just in time for that vaccine.

(% positive also down!)

3/3

The hospitalisation & ITU charts also show v encouraging reduction - also incredible for a winter virus in early winter.Either we are dealing with v bad data now... or we are v fast approaching herd immunity. Just in time for that vaccine. (% positive also down!)3/3

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