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10 Sep: India crossed 4.5M reported #COVID19 cases & 76304 deaths This thread shows important trends national, state & district level6.3 lakh new cases & 7735 deaths were added in the past one weeks
About 7.4M tests were done during this period (TPR 8.6%)
(1/n)
Cases growing at the rate of 2.1% & remained steady over a weekAverage growth of active cases increased to 1.9%Daily tests averaged 10.6L past 7 daysDaily deaths ~1100 level (2/n)
Tests & cases growing almost at the same rateOf the 5.4 crore tests done so far only about 2.7 crores are RT-PCRMost state daily bulletins do not provide break-up of test results by test type(3/n)
Chattisgarh in the only state with 7-day avg growth >5%Number of states with <5% TPR is shrinkingMaharashtra stands out with very high daily TPR as it is still doing very low number of tests per million (< Indian avg.) & reporting highest daily cases(4/n)
Mortality rate at 1.7%High MR in MH, GJ & PBMH again stands our whether one looks at MR based on reported cases or per million population(5/n)
The daily reported numbers from y'day across statesLadakh & Delhi did highest tests per million per day y'dayMany larger and high burden states like MH, UP, WB, MP, RJ etc doing low tests per million per day(6/n)
Trends in daily test per million per day and test positive rate across states with at least 20K reported casesKA, BR, UT, Goa etc reducing daily tests per million(7/n)
Top 50 districts in India in terms of total cases53% of cases & 66% of deaths now come from these districts This was 57% of cases & 69% just three weeks agoDelhi, Mumbai, Thane, and Aurangabad seeing a rebound in cases after declining for several days
(8/n)
Lastly, here is the projected trajectory of cases till Sept 30, as projected on Aug 24. This has been right on track till now. (n/n) https://twitter.com/RijoMJohn/status/1297747902291312640?s=20
